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#1 Re: Help Me ! » statistics problem..need help » 2009-11-09 16:16:35

bobbym wrote:

Hi sou5437;

Ramblings:

A long time ago a bunch of financial geniuses ( LOL ) called a certain person in to do this type of analysis. He informed them that extrapolation or trying to predict the future from past data trends was a violation of statistics and unreliable. Obviously that dude who looked a lot like me was insane or just an idiot. Maybe... Then they called in bigger brains who told them the same thing. Exasperated at all these idiots they called in a someone else (from a field where they masquerade as mathematicians ). He drew up and decided who should get the loans based solely on past data. He had many charts and easels and multi colored graphs and a lovely singing voice.

My sister a senior VP for one of these corporations has informed me that all loaning institutions in this country are now stuck billions of dollars based on analysis like above. They are having to beg the current administration to pours billions into them so they can continue operating.

Question: Why is it still being taught?

Well I would interpret that in a different way.If those big guys had solved these problem earlier, they migh have been not taken such huge loans to create problem for all of us. wink

#2 Help Me ! » statistics problem..need help » 2009-11-08 21:02:25

sou5437
Replies: 2

ABC Branch of XYZ Bank has decided to give 10 Lakh of loan each on long term basis to only two of their customers (accountholders), who are businessmen of the locality. About 20 businessmen had applied for loan in order to develop their business further. In order to reject some of the applications (as the fund was limited), the Bank decided that accountholder who had maintained a minimum balance of 50000 INR would only be considered for the loan. As a result, 10 applications were automatically rejected as they were not satisfying the requirement of minimum balance. Now, the 10 applications remained and it was found that monthly minimum balance in all the cases were more than 50000 INR for the last 12 months. Their account details of monthly minimum balance are given below.
Months     Monthly Minimum Balance in INR

A/C Holder 1     A/C Holder 2     A/C Holder 3     A/C Holder 4     A/C Holder 5     A/C Holder 6     A/C Holder 7     A/C Holder 8     A/C Holder 9     A/C Holder 10
Jan, 2008     60000                   56000     66000         86000         56000         59000         59000         52000         53000     56000
Feb, 2008     70000     76000     74000     96000     76000     96000     78000     73000     98000     76000
Mar, 2008     55000     110000     112000     190000     110000     120000     115000     112000     113000     120000
Apr, 2008     90000     89000     90000     98000     89000     97000     87000     93000     66000     89000
May, 2008     56000     88000     84000     84000     88000     98000     90000     89000     87000     86000
Jun, 2008     80000     52000     57000     57000     52000     57000     55000     54000     59000     72000
Jul, 2008     82000     58000     96000     66000     58000     56000     86000     55000     98000     98000
Aug, 2008     79000     95000     55000     93000     95000     98000     99000     96000     59000     95000
Sept, 2008     51000     86000     76000     74000     86000     88000     89000     97000     87000     84000
Oct, 2008     95000     90000     95000     99000     90000     99000     95000     99000     95000     90000
Nov, 2008     82000     82000     87000     84000     82000     88000     87000     88000     86000     82000
Dec, 2008     83000     55000     56000     57000     55000     59000     59000     59000     52000     53000

You as an Assistant Branch Manager of the Bank are entrusted the task of selecting two account holders for sanctioning the loans. How you will select the two individuals among the 10 applicants to give the loan using appropriate statistical techniques? Give proper justification for your selection

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