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#1 2009-09-17 00:14:19

maths_123
Member
Registered: 2009-09-16
Posts: 6

Help Please

Hi guys, I'm new to the forum and I just had a few question that I want to get help on. Some of the I've done and I want to know if the answer is corret, whereas for others, I want to know what to do. THankssss

1. An automobile club comes to the aid of stranded motorists who are its members. Over the long run, about 5%, which is the population proportion, of the members utilize this service in any 12-month period. A small town has 500 members of the club. One can consider these 500 members as a representative sample of the larger club membership. Let X and ˆp be respectively the number and proportion of the members in the town who will utilize the service in the coming 12-month period. [15]
(a) Name the distribution of X and give the values of any parameters involved.

X~Bin(500, 0.05)

(b) The distribution of X can be approximated by a continuous distribution. Name this
continuous distribution and give the values of any parameters involved.

Continuous random variable (Which continuous distribution, normal or t?)

(c) The towing service in the town has contracted with the club to come to the aid of
up to 35 members in the next 12-month period. What is the approximate probability
that the actual number of members requiring aid will exceed 35? (Use the continuous
distribution obtained in (b) and continuity correction to do the approximation.)

SD(X)=sqrt(np(1-p))=sqrt(500x0.05x0.95)=4.873

mu = 500 x 0.05
= 25

Z=(35.5-25)/4.873
= 2.1547


(d) Use Minitab to find the exact probability that more than 35 members in the town
will utilize the service in the next 12-month period. (Write down the answer and the
commands you used.)

(e) Calculate the mean and standard deviation of the sampling distribution of ˆp, namely,calculate E(ˆp) and sd(ˆp). Also name the (approximate) sampling distribution of ˆp.

(f) Suppose that 24 members in the town actually utilize the service in the next 12-months. Use this information to find the standard error of ˆp.

2. A survey of a class of 190 statistics students at a large university found that they averaged 7.1 hours of sleep the previous night. [10]
(a) Assume that the population average for adults is 6 hours and 57 minutes, or 6.95 hours of sleep (per night), with a (population) standard deviation of 2 hours. What is the (approximate) sampling distribution of the sample mean time of sleep for a random sample of 190 adults?

s.d.(x)= sigma/√n
= 2/√190
= 2/13.784
= 0.145

(b) How likely (i.e., what is the probability) that a sample mean of 7.1 hours of sleep or more would be observed from a random sample of 190 adults? Based on your answer, would the mean 7.1 hours of sleep obtained from the statistics students be a reasonable value to be expected for the sample mean of a random sample of 190 adults?

Pr(X≥7.1)
Z= (7.1-6.95)/2
=0.075
0.07 is 0.5279?
And 0.08 is 0.5319?

Which is about 52%/53%

It is expected because about 50% can be over an d50% can be under.

(c) Now focus on the population of university students in regard to sleep time (per night). Suppose its population mean sleep time is 6.95 hours, the same as that for adults in general population. But its population standard deviation of sleep time is unknown. Instead, the sample standard deviation of 1.95 hours is observed from the sample of 190 students.
i. Using this as an estimate of the student population standard deviation of sleep
time, write a standardized statistic for the sample mean sleep time of a random
sample of 190 students.
Z = ( x- mu)/(sigma/√n)
= (7.1-6.95)/1.95
= 0.0769

ii. What is the standard error of the sample mean sleep time of the 190 students?

s.e.= s/√n
= 1.95^2/√190
= 3.8025/13.784
= 0.276

iii. What is the name of the (approximate) sampling distribution for your standardized
statistic?

Standardizes z-statistic

iv. Use this distribution and Minitab to compute the probability that a sample mean of
7.1 hours of sleep or more would be observed from another sample of 190 university
students.

3. In a study done in Maryland, investigators surveyed individuals by telephone about how often they get tension headaches (Schwartz et al., 1998). One response variable measured was whether or not the respondent had experienced an episodic tension-type headache (ETTH) in the prior year. A headache pattern was called episodic if the headaches occurred less often than 15 times a month; otherwise, the headaches were called chronic. Of the 1600 women in the survey aged 18 to 29 years old, 653 said they had experienced episodic tension-type headaches in the last year. Of the 2122 women in the 30-to-39-year-old age group, the number of having experienced episodic headaches was 995. [15]

(a) Compute a 90% confidence interval, based on a normal distribution approximation, for the proportion of 18-to-29-year-old women in the population who experienced episodic headaches in the last year.


(b) Use the data given to test a hypothesis to check whether the population proportion
of 18-to-29-year-old women who experienced episodic headaches in the last year is less than 0.43. The test should be based on normal distribution and significance level 0.05.
You need to list in your work the null and alternative hypotheses, the test statistic, the p-value or rejection region, and a conclusion.

(c) Compute a 95% confidence interval for the difference between the proportions of episodic headaches for the two age groups in the population.

(d) Test a hypothesis at significance level  = 0.01 to check whether the difference between the two population proportions of episodic headaches is different from 0. You need to list in your work the null and alternative hypotheses, the test statistic, the p-value or rejection region, and a conclusion.

(e) Now suppose we want a 90% confidence interval for the population proportion of 30- to-39-year-old women who experienced episodic headaches in the last year to have a margin of error not more than 0.015. How many 30-to-39-year-old women should be included in the sample at least?

Last edited by maths_123 (2009-09-17 00:17:49)

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#2 2009-09-17 13:19:15

maths_123
Member
Registered: 2009-09-16
Posts: 6

Re: Help Please

please guys??

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#3 2009-09-17 16:36:22

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: Help Please

Hi maths_123;

a)
The binomial distribution can be approximated quite closely by the normal distribution.

Last edited by bobbym (2009-09-17 16:36:48)


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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#4 2009-09-17 19:01:09

maths_123
Member
Registered: 2009-09-16
Posts: 6

Re: Help Please

Thanks


CAn someone just please help with 2 a and c?

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#5 2009-09-17 19:31:25

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: Help Please

Hi maths_123;

b)
when np > 5 and nq > 5 the binomial distribution can be approximated by the normal distribution with mean  = np and sd = √(npq)

c) the work to get the z-score looks okay but you have not converted it to a probability as the question requires.

Last edited by bobbym (2009-09-17 19:42:05)


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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#6 2009-09-17 22:08:14

maths_123
Member
Registered: 2009-09-16
Posts: 6

Re: Help Please

^ is that for question 1??

do you know question 2a, and c.i and iii??

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#7 2009-09-17 22:30:21

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: Help Please

^ is that for question 1??

Yes, it for 1 c.

do you know question 2a, and c.i and iii??

Sorry, not yet, looking through my notes and pretty much trying to remember how to do them. Will post if I get anything.


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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#8 2009-09-17 23:33:51

maths_123
Member
Registered: 2009-09-16
Posts: 6

Re: Help Please

hang on

a)
The binomial distribution can be approximated quite closely by the normal distribution.

b)
when np > 5 and nq > 5 the binomial distribution can be approximated by the normal distribution with mean  = np and sd = √(npq)

c) the work to get the z-score looks okay but you have not converted it to a probability as the question requires.


Are you sure all of these are for the right question??

Can you tell me which parts of c?

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#9 2009-09-17 23:45:18

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: Help Please

(a) Name the distribution of X and give the values of any parameters involved.

X~Bin(500, 0.05)

a)
The binomial distribution can be approximated quite closely by the normal distribution.

(b) The distribution of X can be approximated by a continuous distribution. Name this
continuous distribution and give the values of any parameters involved.

b)
when np > 5 and nq > 5 the binomial distribution can be approximated by the normal distribution with mean  = np and sd = √(npq)

(c) The towing service in the town has contracted with the club to come to the aid of
up to 35 members in the next 12-month period. What is the approximate probability
that the actual number of members requiring aid will exceed 35? (Use the continuous
distribution obtained in (b) and continuity correction to do the approximation.)
SD(X)=sqrt(np(1-p))=sqrt(500x0.05x0.95)=4.873

mu = 500 x 0.05
= 25

Z=(35.5-25)/4.873
= 2.1547

c) the work to get the z-score looks okay but you have not converted it to a probability as the question requires.


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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#10 2009-09-18 01:07:34

maths_123
Member
Registered: 2009-09-16
Posts: 6

Re: Help Please

also...im confused with q 2 (c) (iii) ?
t or normal hmm

Last edited by maths_123 (2009-09-18 01:08:03)

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#11 2009-09-18 08:44:48

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: Help Please

Hi;

For your 2c I only used a t test when comparing two sample means , so I would go with the normal distribution. Reading this that may not be correct.

It looks like for 2 c i, ii, that some aspects of a t test were used:

http://www.socialresearchmethods.net/kb/stat_t.php

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Student%27s_t-test

Last edited by bobbym (2009-09-18 08:59:42)


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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