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#1 2011-03-03 23:30:41

danman111177
Member
Registered: 2011-03-03
Posts: 7

probability

what is the probability of geting a desired result from a number of attempts.

An example would be 3 x a result of 5 or 6 when you roll 5 dice. So you roll 5 dice and you want to get 3 results of 5 or 6.

Hope I made that clear.

Danny

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#2 2011-03-03 23:34:21

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: probability

Hi danman111177;

Welcome to the forum! I am not sure what you require. Do you mean 5,5,5 or 6,6,6?


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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#3 2011-03-04 08:45:16

danman111177
Member
Registered: 2011-03-03
Posts: 7

Re: probability

thanks. You have five dice. both a 5 or a 6 gives a positive result. I want 3 positive results.

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#4 2011-03-04 09:49:33

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: probability

Hi;


That means (5,5,6), (5,5,5),(6,6,6),(5,6,5),(6,5,6) etc.?

If so the answer is:


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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#5 2011-03-04 20:50:43

danman111177
Member
Registered: 2011-03-03
Posts: 7

Re: probability

Thanks for that, but 2 things

1 just to make sure this is 3 positive results from 5 dice

2 its the formula I wanted as the example is just hypothetical.

cheers

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#6 2011-03-04 21:06:34

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: probability

Hi;

Yes, this is exactly 3 positive results, provided that this is what you call a positive result:

(5,5,6), (5,5,5),(6,6,6),(5,6,5),(6,5,6),(6,5,5) etc.

The P(5 or a 6) is 1 / 3 so p = 1 / 3. n = 5.


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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#7 2011-04-04 12:16:44

danman111177
Member
Registered: 2011-03-03
Posts: 7

Re: probability

sorry to be a pest but that just isn't working out for me.

the fraction I get it 20/729. I'm assuming the first brackets is a fraction (which is where Imust be going wrong) and not something I vaguely remember from school. If so what is it so I can look it up.

But yes this appears to be the formula I want.

thanks for help


edit - ok yup I now remember matrices but still working on how that gets to a fraction

edot - figured it out - thanks very much

Last edited by danman111177 (2011-04-04 12:34:31)

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#8 2011-04-04 12:45:17

danman111177
Member
Registered: 2011-03-03
Posts: 7

Re: probability

ok so now have a new problem if you'll bare with me - what the probability of getting at least 3 positive results?

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#9 2011-04-04 12:52:02

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: probability

Hi;

Please, one question at a time. You are still not clear on your first question.

danman111177 wrote:

I'm assuming the first brackets is a fraction

That first bracket is not a matrix or a fraction. It is read 5 choose 3. It is the number of ways to choose or select 3 objects from a group of 5. Its numerical value here is:


Now for your new question.

danman111177 wrote:

what the probability of getting at least 3 positive results?

This is the formula.

So with n =3 and p = 1 / 3. The probability of getting 3 or more positive results in 5 throws of a die is:


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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#10 2011-04-04 18:29:15

danman111177
Member
Registered: 2011-03-03
Posts: 7

Re: probability

thank you very much. never would have solved it on my own.

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#11 2011-04-04 23:09:46

bobbym
bumpkin
From: Bumpkinland
Registered: 2009-04-12
Posts: 109,606

Re: probability

Hi danman111177;

Your welcome.

never would have solved it on my own.

Everybody says that but it is just not true. If you do enough of these you will start getting some of them. See you later.


In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.

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