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#1 2009-05-25 01:09:31
- Fruityloop
- Member
- Registered: 2009-05-18
- Posts: 143
Unbelievable run at c r a p s...
http://www.app.com/article/20090524/NEW … 5/1001/rss
When she eventually "sevened out" around 12:31 a.m., after 154 rolls of the dice, she was greeted by Borgata with a champagne toast.
The odds of winning on each roll is .4929
So the odds of 154 winning rolls before finally losing is 1 in
Holy smoke!!!
Last edited by Fruityloop (2009-05-25 06:31:21)
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#2 2009-05-25 11:39:03
- Fruityloop
- Member
- Registered: 2009-05-18
- Posts: 143
Re: Unbelievable run at c r a p s...
Let us pretend that the population of the entire world (7,000,000,000) makes one attempt
every second for the entire history of the universe (4.32 x 10^17).
We have
So the probability of success is or
Which is 1 in
The actual probability will be lower than this because I'm assuming sampling without replacement.
I can only conclude one of two things:
1) She didn't really win 154 times in a row.
or
2) She cheated.
Last edited by Fruityloop (2009-05-25 11:47:38)
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