You are not logged in.
Hi there,
Given N sets of values, I'm trying to figure out why averaging the returns per period across sets of values always produces a higher geomean than
first averaging the values per period across tests, then calculating period-to-period returns, and then taking the geomean of those returns.
I used the RAND function for each value as to quickly iterate different "tests".
Thank you
Last edited by kloser123 (2013-11-19 09:42:57)
Offline
Hi kloser123;
Welcome to the forum. I do not see the spreadsheet.
In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.
Offline
obviously, monthly return and avg geomeans differ in some months.
But I don't know why the final geomean for the whole period is always higher.
Can you help please?
Thank you
Offline
Hi;
Please provide the spreadsheet or an example.
In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.
Offline
how can I attach it?
1 year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Geomean
$1.000 $1.285 $1.153 $815 $1.362 $905 $1.041 $859 $931 $1.027 $878 $860 $1.038
29% -10% -29% 67% -34% 15% -17% 8% 10% -15% -2% 21%
$1.000 $985 $1.195 $1.251 $929 $830 $1.049 $1.295 $963 $1.139 $1.173 $1.057 $1.231
-2% 21% 5% -26% -11% 26% 23% -26% 18% 3% -10% 16%
$1.000 $1.153 $910 $1.187 $802 $1.235 $923 $1.308 $1.205 $806 $949 $992 $919
15% -21% 30% -32% 54% -25% 42% -8% -33% 18% 5% -7%
1) Avg values $1.000 $1.141 $1.086 $1.084 $1.031 $990 $1.004 $1.154 $1.033 $991 $1.000 $970 $1.063
Monthly return 1,14 0,95 1,00 0,95 0,96 1,01 1,15 0,90 0,96 1,01 0,97 1,10 0,508% = 0,508%
CAGR formula matches averaging values perfectly
2) Avg geomeans 1,14 0,97 1,02 1,03 1,03 1,05 1,16 0,92 0,98 1,02 0,98 1,10 3,097%
Geomean of averaged monthly geomeans - geomean of averaged monthly values 2,589%
Offline
Hi;
I am sorry I cannot read that, can you take a screenshot?
This is what your post looks like on my browser.
In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.
Offline
how can I paste it?
Offline
You would need a screen capture. or you can post it in small pieces.
In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.
Offline
1 year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Geomean
$1.000 $1.144 $1.074 $994 $962
14% -6% -7% -3%
$1.000 $1.159 $1.158 $944 $1.036
16% 0% -18% 10%
$1.000 $1.112 $914 $1.217 $1.214
11% -18% 33% 0%
Avg values $1.000 $1.138 $1.049 $1.052 $1.071
Monthly return 1,14 0,92 1,00 1,02 1,722% = 1,722%
CAGR formula matches averaging values perfectly
Avg geomeans 1,14 0,92 1,02 1,02 2,292%
Geomean of averaged monthly geomeans - geomean of averaged monthly values 0,570%
Offline
Hi;
The picture below is what I am seeing. I can not make any sense out of it. Maybe someone else can, sorry for the bother.
In mathematics, you don't understand things. You just get used to them.
If it ain't broke, fix it until it is.
Always satisfy the Prime Directive of getting the right answer above all else.
Offline